Mitengo Yomangamanga ya January 'Surge'

Malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Associated Builders and Contractors of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index, mitengo ya zinthu zomangira ikukwera m’chimene chikutchedwa kukwera kwakukulu kwa mwezi uliwonse kuyambira August chaka chatha.

Mitengo idakwera 1% mu Januwarepoyerekeza ndi mwezi wapitawo, ndipo mitengo yonse yolowera yomanga ndi 0.4% kuposa chaka chapitacho.Mitengo yazinthu zomanga zosakhalamo akuti yakweranso ndi 0.7%.

Kuyang'ana magawo amagetsi, mitengo idakwera m'magulu awiri mwa atatu mwezi watha.Mitengo yamafuta amafuta osakanizidwa idakwera 6.1%, pomwe zida zamagetsi zomwe sizinakonzedwe zidakwera 3.8%.Mitengo yamafuta achilengedwe idatsika ndi 2.4% mu Januware.

"Mitengo ya zida zomangira idakwera mu Januware, ndikuthetsa kutsika katatu kotsatizana pamwezi," atero Chief Economist wa ABC Anirban Basu."Ngakhale izi zikuyimira kukwera kwakukulu pamwezi kuyambira mu Ogasiti 2023, mitengo yolowera sinasinthe m'chaka chathachi, kutsika ndi theka la peresenti.

"Chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa ndalama zogulira, ma kontrakitala ambiri akuyembekeza kuti phindu lawo liwonjezeke m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi, malinga ndi ABC's Construction Confidence Index."

Mwezi watha, Basu adanenanso kuti piracy mu Nyanja Yofiira komanso kupatutsidwa kwa zombo zochokera ku Suez Canal kuzungulira Cape of Good Hope kunali kuchititsa kuti mitengo yapadziko lonse ifike kuwirikiza kawiri m'masabata awiri oyambirira a 2024.

Amadziwika kuti ndiye kusokonekera kwakukulu pazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi kuyambira mliri wa COVID-19, mayendedwe operekera zinthu akuwonetsa zovuta kutsatira izi,kuphatikizapo makampani opanga zokutira.

Mitengo yamphero yachitsulo idakweranso kwambiri mu Januware, kudumpha 5.4% kuyambira mwezi watha.Zida zachitsulo ndi zitsulo zinawonjezeka ndi 3.5% ndipo zopangira konkire zinakwera 0,8%.Zomatira ndi zosindikizira, komabe, sizinasinthidwe kwa mweziwo, komabe ndi 1.2% apamwamba chaka ndi chaka.

“Kuphatikiza apo, mitengo ya PPI yokulirapo ya mitengo yomwe amalandila onse ogulitsa zinthu zomwe amafunikira ndi ntchito zomaliza idakwera ndi 0.3% mu Januware, kuposa kuchuluka komwe amayembekezeredwa 0.1%,” adatero Basu.

"Izi, komanso kuchuluka kwamitengo yamtengo wapatali kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa koyambirira kwa sabata ino, zikuwonetsa kuti Federal Reserve ikhoza kusunga chiwongola dzanja kwa nthawi yayitali kuposa momwe amayembekezera."

Backlog, Contractor Confidence

Kumayambiriro kwa mwezi uno, ABC inanenanso kuti Chizindikiritso Chake Chobwezeretsa Ntchito Zomangamanga chinatsika miyezi 0.2 mpaka miyezi 8.4 mu January.Malinga ndi kafukufuku wa mamembala a ABC, omwe adachitika kuyambira Januware 22 mpaka 4 Feb.

Bungweli likufotokoza kuti zotsalirazo zidakwera mpaka miyezi 10.9 m'gulu la mafakitale olemera, omwe amawerengedwa kwambiri pagululi, ndipo ndi miyezi 2.5 kuposa mu Januware 2023. Komabe, zotsalirazo zimatsika chaka m'magulu azamalonda / mabungwe ndi zomangamanga.

Kumbuyoku kudawulula kuchuluka kwa ziwerengero m'magawo angapo, kuphatikiza:

• Makampani Olemera Kwambiri, kuchokera ku 8.4 mpaka 10.9;
• chigawo chakumpoto chakum’mawa, kuchokera pa 8.0 mpaka 8.7;
• chigawo cha South, kuchokera 10,7 mpaka 11.4;ndi
• kukula kwa kampani kopitilira $100 miliyoni, kuchokera pa 10.7 mpaka 13.0.

Zotsalirazo zidagwera m'magawo angapo, kuphatikiza:

• makampani a Zamalonda ndi Institutional, kuyambira 9.1 mpaka 8.6;
• makampani a Infrastructure, kuchokera ku 7.9 mpaka 7.3;
• dera la Middle States, kuyambira 8.5 mpaka 7.2;
• dera la Kumadzulo, kuyambira 6.6 mpaka 5.3;
• kukula kwa kampani kosakwana $30 miliyoni, kuchokera pa 7.4 mpaka 7.2;
• kukula kwa kampani $30-$50 miliyoni, kuchokera 11.1 mpaka 9.2;ndi
• kukula kwa kampani $50- $100 miliyoni, kuchokera 12.3 mpaka 10.9.

Zowerengera za Confidence Index pazamalonda ndi antchito akuti zidakwera mu Januware, pomwe zowerengera zopeza phindu zidatsika.Izi zati, zowerengera zonse zitatuzi zikukhalabe pamwamba pa 50, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuyembekezera kukula kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.