Mitengo Yomangamanga ya January 'Surge'

Malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Associated Builders and Contractors of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index, mitengo ya zinthu zomangira ikukwera m’chimene chikutchedwa kukwera kwakukulu kwa mwezi uliwonse kuyambira August chaka chatha.

Mitengo idakwera 1% mu Januwarepoyerekeza ndi mwezi wapitawo, ndipo mitengo yonse yopangira zomangamanga ndi 0.4% kuposa chaka chapitacho. Mitengo ya zinthu zomangira zosakhalamo akuti yakweranso ndi 0.7%.

Kuyang'ana magawo amagetsi, mitengo idakwera m'magulu awiri mwa atatu mwezi watha. Mitengo yamafuta amafuta osakanizidwa idakwera 6.1%, pomwe zida zamagetsi zomwe sizinakonzedwe zidakwera 3.8%. Mitengo yamafuta achilengedwe idatsika ndi 2.4% mu Januware.

"Mitengo ya zida zomangira idakwera mu Januware, ndikuthetsa kutsika katatu kotsatizana pamwezi," atero Chief Economist wa ABC Anirban Basu. "Ngakhale izi zikuyimira kukwera kwakukulu pamwezi kuyambira mu Ogasiti 2023, mitengo yolowera sinasinthe m'chaka chathachi, kutsika ndi theka la peresenti.

"Chifukwa chakuchepa kwa ndalama zogulira, ma kontrakitala ambiri akuyembekeza kuti phindu lawo liwonjezeke m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwera, malinga ndi ABC's Construction Confidence Index."

Mwezi watha, Basu adanenanso kuti piracy mu Nyanja Yofiira komanso kupatutsidwa kwa zombo zochokera ku Suez Canal kuzungulira Cape of Good Hope zikuchititsa kuti katundu wapadziko lonse achuluke kuwirikiza kawiri m'masabata awiri oyambirira a 2024.

Amadziwika kuti ndiye kusokonekera kwakukulu pazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi kuyambira mliri wa COVID-19, mayendedwe operekera zinthu akuwonetsa zovuta kutsatira izi,kuphatikizapo makampani opanga zokutira.

Mitengo yamphero yachitsulo idakweranso kwambiri mu Januware, kudumpha 5.4% kuyambira mwezi watha. Zida zachitsulo ndi zitsulo zinawonjezeka ndi 3.5% ndipo zopangira konkire zinakwera 0,8%. Zomatira ndi zosindikizira, komabe, sizinasinthidwe kwa mweziwo, komabe ndi 1.2% apamwamba chaka ndi chaka.

“Kuphatikiza apo, mitengo ya PPI yokulirapo yamitengo yomwe onse omwe amapanga m'nyumba zogulitsira zomaliza idakwera ndi 0.3% mu Januwale, kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa kukwera kwa 0.1%,” adatero Basu.

"Izi, komanso kuchuluka kwamitengo yamtengo wapatali kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa koyambirira sabata ino, zikuwonetsa kuti Federal Reserve ikhoza kusunga chiwongola dzanja kwa nthawi yayitali kuposa momwe amayembekezera."

Backlog, Contractor Confidence

Kumayambiriro kwa mwezi uno, ABC inanenanso kuti Chizindikiritso Chake Chobwezeretsa Ntchito Zomangamanga chinatsika miyezi 0.2 mpaka miyezi 8.4 mu January. Malinga ndi kafukufuku wa mamembala a ABC, omwe adachitika kuyambira Januware 22 mpaka 4 Feb.

Bungweli likufotokoza kuti zotsalirazo zawonjezeka kufika pa miyezi 10.9 m'gulu la mafakitale olemera, omwe amawerengedwa kwambiri pagululi, ndipo ndi miyezi 2.5 kuposa January 2023. m'magulu azamalonda / mabungwe ndi zomangamanga.

Kumbuyoku kudawulula kuchuluka kwa ziwerengero m'magawo angapo, kuphatikiza:

• Makampani Olemera Kwambiri, kuchokera ku 8.4 mpaka 10.9;
• chigawo chakumpoto chakum’mawa, kuchokera pa 8.0 mpaka 8.7;
• chigawo cha South, kuchokera 10,7 mpaka 11.4; ndi
• kukula kwa kampani kopitilira $100 miliyoni, kuchokera pa 10.7 mpaka 13.0.

Zotsalirazo zidagwera m'magawo angapo, kuphatikiza:

• makampani a Zamalonda ndi Institutional, kuyambira 9.1 mpaka 8.6;
• makampani a Infrastructure, kuchokera ku 7.9 mpaka 7.3;
• dera la Middle States, kuyambira 8.5 mpaka 7.2;
• dera la Kumadzulo, kuyambira 6.6 mpaka 5.3;
• kukula kwa kampani kosakwana $30 miliyoni, kuchokera pa 7.4 mpaka 7.2;
• kukula kwa kampani $30-$50 miliyoni, kuchokera 11.1 mpaka 9.2; ndi
• kukula kwa kampani $50- $100 miliyoni, kuchokera 12.3 mpaka 10.9.

Kuwerengera kwa Confidence Index pazogulitsa ndi antchito akuti kudakwera mu Januware, pomwe kuwerengera phindu kumatsika. Izi zati, zowerengera zonse zitatuzi zikukhalabe pamwamba pa 50, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuyembekezera kukula kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.