Kudera lonse la Latin America, kukula kwa GDP kwatsala pang'ono kupitirira 2%, malinga ndi ECLAC.
Charles W. Thurston, Mtolankhani waku Latin America03.31.25
Kufuna kwakukulu kwa utoto ndi zokutira ku Brazil kudakula 6% mu 2024, zomwe zidachulukitsa kuchulukitsa kwa zinthu zonse zapakhomo. M'zaka zapitazi, makampaniwa akhala akuchulukirachulukira GDP ndi gawo limodzi kapena awiri, koma chaka chatha, chiŵerengerocho chinakula, malinga ndi lipoti laposachedwapa la Abrafati, Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Msika waku Brazil wa utoto ndi zokutira udatha 2024 ndikugulitsa mbiri, kupitilira zolosera zonse zomwe zidaperekedwa mchaka chonsecho. Liwiro la malonda lidakhalabe lolimba chaka chonse m'mizere yonse yazogulitsa, kukankhira voliyumu yonse mpaka malita mabiliyoni 1.983 - malita miliyoni 112 kuposa chaka cham'mbuyo, zomwe zikuyimira kukula kwa 6.0% - kupitilira 2% pamlingo wa 2% pachaka. makampani,” adatero Fabio Humberg, mkulu wa Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, mu imelo ku CW.
"Voliyumu ya 2024 - pafupifupi malita 2 biliyoni - ikuyimira zotsatira zabwino kwambiri m'mbiri yakale ndipo yapangitsa Brazil kukhala dziko lachinayi padziko lonse lapansi, kuposa Germany," adatero Humberg.
Kukula Kwachigawo Pafupifupi Flat
Kudera lonse la Latin America, kukula kwa GDP kwatsala pang'ono kupitirira 2%, malinga ndi United Nations' Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). "Mu 2024, chuma cham'derali chidakula ndi pafupifupi 2.2%, ndipo mu 2025, kukula kwachigawo kukuyembekezeka kufika 2.4%," adatero akatswiri a ECLAC Economic Development Division mu Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, yomwe idatulutsidwa kumapeto kwa 2024.
"Ngakhale ziwonetsero za 2024 ndi 2025 zili pamwamba pa avareji kwa zaka khumi, kukula kwachuma kudzakhalabe kotsika. Kukula kwapakati pachaka kwa zaka khumi za 2015-2024 ndi 1%, kutanthauza kuti GDP ya munthu aliyense panthawiyo inali yokhazikika," lipotilo linati. Mayiko amderali akukumana ndi zomwe ECLAC idatcha "msampha wocheperako pakukula."
Kukula kwa zigawo zazing'ono sikunali kofanana, ndipo izi zikupitilira, ECLAC ikuwonetsa. "Pa gawo lachigawo, ku South America komanso m'gulu lomwe lili ndi Mexico ndi Central America, ziwopsezo zakula zatsika kuchokera theka lachiwiri la 2022. Ku South America, kuchepa kwapang'onopang'ono kumawonekera kwambiri pamene dziko la Brazil silinaphatikizidwe, pamene dzikolo likukweza chiwerengero cha kukula kwa GDP chifukwa cha kukula kwake ndi ntchito yabwino; kukula kumadalira kwambiri zolemba zachinsinsi.
Lipotilo linati: “Kuoneka kofooka kumeneku kukusonyeza kuti m’zaka zapakati, zomwe mayiko a ku Latin America ndi ku Caribbean athandizira chuma chawo pakukula kwa dziko lonse, zomwe zasonyezedwa pazigawo zambiri, zidzacheperachepera theka,” lipotilo likusonyeza.
Deta ndi mikhalidwe ya mayiko akuluakulu ku Latin America zimatsatira.
Brazil
Kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwakugwiritsa ntchito utoto ndi zokutira ku Brazil mu 2024 kudathandizidwa ndi 3.2% kukula kwachuma mdziko muno. Kuneneratu kwa GDP kwa 2025 ndikocheperako, pa 2.3%, malinga ndi zomwe ECLAC ikuyerekeza. Malingaliro a Banki Yadziko Lonse ndi ofanana ku Brazil.
Ndi gawo lamakampani opanga utoto, magwiridwe antchito a Brazil anali amphamvu pamagulu onse, motsogozedwa ndi gawo lamagalimoto. "Panali kukula kwa mizere yonse yopangira utoto kuchokera kumakampani opanga utoto ndi zokutira [m'chaka cha 2024], makamaka mu zokutira zamagalimoto za OEM, zomwe zidabwera chifukwa chakuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa malonda agalimoto," adatero Abrafati.
Kugulitsa ku Brazil magalimoto atsopano kuphatikiza mabasi ndi magalimoto kudakwera ndi 14% mu 2024 mpaka zaka 10, malinga ndi Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Kugulitsa kwazaka zonse kudafikira magalimoto 2.63 miliyoni mu 2024, zomwe zidapangitsa dzikolo kukhala lachisanu ndi chitatu pamisika yayikulu, malinga ndi bungwe. (Onani CW 1/24/25).
"Zovala zoyezera magalimoto zidawonanso kuti malonda akukula pamlingo wa 3.6%, chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa magalimoto atsopano - zomwe zimakhudza kugulitsa magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito komanso kuwononga ndalama pokonzanso poyembekezera malondawo - komanso kuchuluka kwa chidaliro cha ogula," adatero Abrafati.
Utoto wokongoletsera udapitilirabe kuwonetsa magwiridwe antchito abwino, ndi kuchuluka kwa malita 1.490 biliyoni (mpaka 5.9% kuchokera chaka cham'mbuyo), Abrafati amawerengera. "Chimodzi mwa zifukwa zomwe zimapangitsa kuti utoto wokongoletsera ukhale wabwino ndikuphatikizana kwa anthu omwe akusamalira nyumba zawo, kuti azipanga kukhala malo otonthoza, othawirako komanso athanzi, omwe akhalapo kuyambira mliriwu," adatero Abrafati.
"Kuwonjezera pazochitikazo ndikuwonjezereka kwa chidaliro cha ogula, monga ogula amadzimva kuti ali ndi ntchito zambiri komanso chitetezo cha ndalama, zomwe ndizofunikira kuti asankhe kugwiritsa ntchito penti yatsopano pa malo awo," pulezidenti wamkulu wa Abrafati Luiz Cornacchioni anafotokoza m'makalatawo.
Zovala zamafakitale zidatumizanso kukula kolimba, kolimbikitsidwa ndi mapulogalamu a chitukuko cha boma omwe adayamba kumapeto kwa 2023 pansi pa Purezidenti Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Chizindikiro china cha 2024 chinali ntchito ya zokutira zamakampani, zomwe zinakula kwambiri kuposa 6.3% poyerekeza ndi 2023. Magawo onse a mzere wophimba mafakitale adawonetsa kukula kwakukulu, makamaka chifukwa cha malonda amphamvu a ogula okhazikika komanso kupita patsogolo kwa ntchito zomangamanga (zolimbikitsidwa ndi zinthu monga chaka cha chisankho ndi mapangano omwe adaperekedwa kwa mabungwe apadera omwe sanaperekedwe)," Abra.
Infrastructure ndiye gawo lalikulu la Boma la New Growth Acceleration Programme (Novo PAC), ndondomeko ya ndalama zokwana madola 347 biliyoni yomwe imayang'anira zomangamanga, chitukuko, ndi ntchito zachilengedwe, zomwe cholinga chake ndi kupititsa patsogolo zigawo zonse za dziko mofanana.Onani CW 11/12/24).
"Novo PAC imakhudza mgwirizano wamphamvu pakati pa boma la feduro ndi mabungwe wamba, mayiko, ma municipalities, ndi kayendetsedwe ka chikhalidwe cha anthu mogwirizana ndi kudzipereka kwa kusintha kwa chilengedwe, neo-industrialization, kukula pamodzi ndi kuphatikizidwa kwa chikhalidwe cha anthu, ndi kusunga chilengedwe," inatero tsamba la pulezidenti.
Osewera akulu kwambiri pamsika wa utoto, zokutira ndi zomatira (NAICS CODES: 3255) akuphatikiza awa asanu, malinga ndi Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, yomwe ili ku Guarulhos, m'chigawo cha Sao Paulo, ndi malonda a pachaka a $ 271.85 miliyoni.
• Henkel, yemwe amakhala ku Itapevi, m'chigawo cha Sao Paulo, ndipo akugulitsa $140.69 miliyoni.
• Killing S/A Tintas e Adesivos, yomwe ili ku Novo Hamburgo, Rio Grande Do Sul state, ndi $ 129.14 miliyoni pogulitsa.
• Renner Sayerlack, wokhala ku Sao Paulo, ndi $ 111.3 miliyoni pogulitsa.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, yomwe ili ku Taboao Da Serra, m'chigawo cha Sao Paulo, ndi $ 93.19 miliyoni pogulitsa.
Argentina
Argentina, yomwe imayandikana ndi Brazil pakati pa maiko aku Southern Cone, yatsala pang'ono kubweza kukula kwamphamvu kwa 4.3% chaka chino pazidendene za 3.2% contraction mu 2024, makamaka ntchito ya chitsogozo chazachuma cha Purezidenti Javier Milei. Chiyembekezo cha GDP chopangidwa ndi ECLAC sichikhala ndi chiyembekezo chocheperako kuti bungwe la International Monetary Fund likulosera za kukula kwa 5% ku Argentina mu 2025.
Nthawi yakukuliranso kwa nyumba ku Argentina ikuyembekezeka kukula kufunikira kwa utoto womanga ndi zokutira (Onani CW 9/23/24). Kusintha kumodzi kwakukulu ku Argentina ndikutha kwa chiwonjezeko cha lendi ndikuwongolera nthawi yobwereketsa msika wanyumba zogona. Mu Ogasiti 2024, Milei adataya Lamulo la Rental 2020 lokhazikitsidwa ndi wakale.
kumanzere.
Kukonzanso zipinda zomwe zabwerera kumsika wotseguka zitha kulimbikitsa zokutira zomanga mpaka pafupifupi $650 miliyoni pofika kumapeto kwa 2027 zitakula pamlingo wokulirapo pachaka (CAGR) pafupifupi 4.5% pazaka zisanu pakati pa 2022 ndi 2027, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa IndustryARC.
Makampani akuluakulu opaka utoto ndi zokutira ku Argentina, pa D&B, akuphatikiza:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, wokhala ku Garín, m'chigawo cha Buenos Aires, malonda sanatchulidwe.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, yomwe ili ku Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, ndi malonda a $ 116.06 miliyoni pachaka.
• Chemotecnica, yomwe ili ku Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, malonda sanatchulidwe.
• Mapei Argentina, omwe ali ku Escobar, Buenos Aires, malonda sanatchulidwe.
• Akapol, wokhala ku Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, malonda sanatchulidwe.
Colombia
Kukulanso ku Colombia kukuyembekezeka 2025 pa 2.6% poyerekeza ndi 1.8% mu 2024, malinga ndi ECLAC. Izi zidzakhala zabwino makamaka kwa omvera
gawo la zomangamanga.
"Kufuna kwapakhomo kudzakhala dalaivala wamkulu wa kukula kwa zaka ziwiri zikubwerazi. Kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa katundu, komwe kunayambiranso pang'onopang'ono mu 2024, kudzawonjezeka kwambiri mu 2025 chifukwa cha chiwongoladzanja chochepa cha chiwongoladzanja ndi ndalama zenizeni," alemba ofufuza ku BBVA mu March 2025 momwe dziko likuyendera.
Kukula kwa zomangamanga, komwe kwayamba kukwera, kudzakwezanso kufunika kwa zokutira zamafakitale. Ntchito zazikulu, monga bwalo la ndege latsopano la Cartegena, akuyembekezeka kuyamba kumangidwa mu theka loyamba la 2025.
"Boma likuyang'ana kwambiri za zomangamanga, kuphatikizapo mayendedwe, mphamvu ndi chikhalidwe cha anthu (masukulu ndi zipatala), zidzakhalabe mzati waukulu wa ndondomeko ya zachuma. Ntchito zazikuluzikulu zikuphatikizapo kukulitsa misewu, mayendedwe a metro ndi kupititsa patsogolo madoko, "anatero ofufuza ku Gleeds.
"Bungwe la ntchito zachitukuko lidapitilirabe kudabwitsa ndikukula ndi 13.9% mgawo lachiwiri la 2024 pamndandanda wake wosinthidwa nyengo, kutsatira magawo asanu motsatizana.
Osewera akulu kwambiri pamsika omwe adasankhidwa ndi D&B ndi awa:
• Compania Global de Pinturas, yomwe ili ku Medellin, dipatimenti ya Antioquia, yomwe ili ndi $ 219.33 miliyoni pachaka.
• Invesa, yomwe ili ku Envigado, Antioquia, ndi $ 117.62 miliyoni pogulitsa.
• Coloquimica, yomwe ili ku La Estrella, Antioquia, ndi $ 68.16 miliyoni yogulitsa.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, yomwe ili ku Medellin, Antioquia. ndi $62.97 miliyoni pogulitsa.
• PPG Industries Colombia, yomwe ili ku Itagui, Antioquia, ndi $ 55.02 miliyoni yogulitsa.
Paraguay
Pakati pa mayiko ku Latin America akuyembekezeka kukula mofulumira kwambiri ndi Paraguay, yomwe ikuyembekezeka kukulitsa GDP yake ndi 4.2% chaka chino, potsatira kukula kwa 3.9% chaka chatha, ECLAC inati.
"GDP ku Paraguay ikuyembekezeka kukhala $ 45 biliyoni kumapeto kwa 2024 pamitengo yaposachedwa ya GDP. Kuyang'ana ku 2025, ziwonetsero zikuwonetsa kuti kuyerekeza kwa GDP kwa Paraguay mu 2025 kungakhale $ 46.3 biliyoni. Chuma cha Paraguay chakula pakukula kwapakati pachaka kwa 6.1% m'zaka zinayi zapitazi, ndipo lipoti lalikulu kwambiri ku America padziko lonse lapansi ndi Uruguay. Economics, ofufuza a London.
Zopanga zazing'ono zikupitilizabe kukhala gawo lalikulu lazachuma ku Paraguay. "BCP [Paraguay Central Bank] ikuyerekeza kuti [2025] idzakhala yotukuka kumakampani ku Paraguay, ndikugogomezera gawo la maquila (msonkhano ndi kutha kwazinthu).
Kuyika ndalama zogwirira ntchito kumathandizira kupanga ku Paraguay.
"The OPEC Fund for International Development (mu Januwale) inalengeza kuti ikupereka ngongole ya $ 50 miliyoni ku Paraguay kuti ithandizire kukonzanso, kukweza ndi kukonza National Route PY22 ndi misewu yopita ku dipatimenti ya kumpoto kwa Paraguay ku Concepción. Co-ndalama ndi ngongole ya $ 135 miliyoni kuchokera ku CAF (Development Bank of Caribbean Economy) Latin America.
Misewu ndi zomangamanga zatsopano za hotelo zidzathandiza Paraguay kukulitsa malonda ake okopa alendo, omwe akukula mofulumira, ndi alendo oposa 2.2 miliyoni, malinga ndi lipoti la Secretariat of Tourism ku Paraguay (Senatur). "Deta, yopangidwa mogwirizana ndi a Directorate of Migration, ikuwonetsa kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa 22% kwa alendo obwera kuyerekeza ndi 2023," inatero Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
The Caribbean
Monga gawo laling'ono, Caribbean ikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kukula kwa 11% chaka chino, poyerekeza ndi 5.7% mu 2024, malinga ndi ECLAC (Onani tchati cha ECLAC GDP). Mwa mayiko 14 omwe amadziwika kuti ndi gawo laling'ono, Guyana ikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kukula kwachilendo kwa 41.5% chaka chino, poyerekeza ndi 13.6% mu 2024, chifukwa chakukula kwamafuta akunyanja komwe kukukulirakulira.
Banki Yadziko Lonse inanena kuti chuma cha ku Guyana cha mafuta ndi gasi chili “migolo yofanana ndi mafuta yoposa 11.2 biliyoni, kuphatikizapo malo okwana makyubikimita 17 thiliyoni a malo osungiramo gasi achilengedwe.” Makampani angapo amafuta apadziko lonse lapansi akupitiliza kupanga ndalama zazikulu, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti 2022 iyambe kuthamangira kupanga mafuta mdziko muno.
Zotsatira za kugwa kwa ndalama zidzathandiza kupanga kufunikira kwatsopano kwa magawo onse a utoto ndi zokutira. "Ngakhale, mbiri yakale, GDP ya Guyana pamunthu aliyense inali imodzi mwazotsika kwambiri ku South America, kukula kwachuma kuyambira 2020, pafupifupi 42.3% pazaka zitatu zapitazi, kubweretsa GDP pamunthu aliyense kupitilira $ 18,199 mu 2022, kuchokera $ 6,477 mu 2019," World.
Malipoti aku banki.
Osewera akulu kwambiri opaka utoto ndi zokutira m'chigawochi, malinga ndi kusaka kwa Google AI, akuphatikiza:
• Osewera Achigawo: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, ndi Royal.
• Makampani Padziko Lonse: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore ndi Comex.
• Makampani ena odziwika akuphatikizapo RM Lucas Co. ndi Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Venezuela
Dziko la Venezuela lakhala likulowerera ndale ku Latin America kwa zaka zambiri, ngakhale kuti dzikolo lili ndi chuma chamafuta ndi gasi, motsogozedwa ndi Purezidenti Nicolás Maduro. ECLAC ikuneneratu kuti chuma chidzakula ndi 6.2% chaka chino, poyerekeza ndi 3.1% mu 2024.
Oyang'anira a Trump atha kuponya madzi ozizira pazoneneratu zakukula kumeneku kumapeto kwa Marichi kulengeza kuti United States ipereka msonkho wa 25% kudziko lililonse lomwe likutumiza mafuta aku Venezuela, omwe ndi pafupifupi 90% yachuma cha dzikolo.
Kulengeza kwa msonkho kudabwera pambuyo pa kuthetsedwa kwa laisensi ya Chevron pa Marichi 4 kuti ipeze ndikutulutsa mafuta mdziko muno. "Ngati muyesowu upititsidwa kumakampani ena - kuphatikiza Repsol yaku Spain, Eni ya ku Italy, ndi Maurel & Prom ya ku France - chuma cha Venezuela chikhoza kukumana ndi kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kupanga mafuta osakanizika, kuchepetsedwa kwamafuta amafuta, msika wocheperako wosinthira ndalama zakunja, kutsika kwamitengo, komanso kukwera kwa inflation," ikuwerengera Caracas Mbiri.
Bungwe lofalitsa nkhani linanena za kusintha kwaposachedwa kwa Ecoanalítica, komwe "akufuna kutsika kwa 2% mpaka 3% mu GDP pofika kumapeto kwa 2025, ndikutsika kwa 20% m'gawo lamafuta." Ofufuzawo akupitiriza kuti: "Zizindikiro zonse zikusonyeza kuti 2025 idzakhala yovuta kwambiri kuposa momwe poyamba ankayembekezera, ndi kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kasamalidwe ka nthawi yochepa komanso kuchepa kwa ndalama zamafuta."
Pakati pa otsogola otsogola amafuta aku Venezuela ndi China, yomwe mu 2023 idagula 68% yamafuta otumizidwa kunja ndi Venezuela, malinga ndi kuwunika kwa 2024 ndi US Energy Information Administration, inatero EuroNews. “Spain, India, Russia, Singapore ndi Vietnam alinso m’gulu la mayiko amene amalandira mafuta kuchokera ku Venezuela, lipotilo likusonyeza,” lipotilo likutero.
Koma ngakhale United States - mosasamala kanthu kuti inalangidwa ndi Venezuela - imagula mafuta kuchokera ku dzikolo. Mu Januwale, United States inaitanitsa migolo ya mafuta 8.6 miliyoni kuchokera ku Venezuela, malinga ndi Census Bureau, pa migolo pafupifupi 202 miliyoni yomwe inatumizidwa mwezi umenewo," EuroNews inati.
Pakhomo, chuma chikuyang'anabe pa kukonza nyumba, zomwe ziyenera kuonjezera kufunikira kwa utoto womanga ndi zokutira. Mu Meyi 2024, boma la Venezuela lidachita mwambo wokumbukira zaka 13 za pulogalamu yawo ya Great Housing Mission (GMVV), kukondwerera nyumba yokwana 4.9 miliyoni yoperekedwa kwa mabanja ogwira ntchito, inatero kusanthula kwa Venezuela. Pulogalamuyi ili ndi cholinga chomanga nyumba 7 miliyoni pofika 2030.
Ngakhale osunga ndalama aku Western atha kuchita manyazi kuti achuluke kwambiri ku Venezuela, mabanki akumayiko osiyanasiyana akuthandizira ntchito zomanga, kuphatikiza banki ya Development ku Latin America ndi Caribbean (CAF).
Nthawi yotumiza: May-08-2025
